SUNFUSION ULTIMATE QUANTUM CALCULATOR
Advanced Solar PV & Energy Storage Sizing Tool
Your Energy Profile
Highest monthly usage from your utility bills
Typical daily kWh from utility bill
Affects solar production estimates
Average blended rate from utility bill
4-9 PM peak rate if on Time-of-Use plan
Your Goals
How long do you want to run on battery during an outage?
% of your usage to offset with solar (>100% for surplus)
Your Custom Solar & Storage Solution
π‘ Recommended System Packages
βΉοΈ Important Sizing Considerations
- Solar calculations assume optimal roof orientation and minimal shading
- Battery sizing includes 30% reserve for cloudy days and increased demand
- Backup duration is based on reduced "critical loads" (50-70% of normal usage)
- With Time-of-Use rates, you may charge batteries during super off-peak hours
- Actual performance varies based on weather, usage patterns, and system configuration
Advanced Load Analysis
Maximum simultaneous power draw
Essential loads during outage
If you have an EV charger
For solar panel installation
Usage Patterns
Usage during 4-9 PM peak hours
If you have Time-of-Use rates
β οΈ Advanced Sizing Notes
For precise system sizing, we recommend a professional site survey. Factors like roof pitch, azimuth, shading analysis, electrical panel capacity, and local code requirements all impact the final design. This calculator provides estimates for planning purposes.
Detailed System Analysis
Explore What-If Scenarios
Understanding how different scenarios affect your solar and storage needs helps you make informed decisions. Explore common situations homeowners face when planning their energy systems.
π Adding an Electric Vehicle
Impact: +25-50 kWh/day usage
Recommendation: Add 7-10 kW of solar capacity and 15-20 kWh of battery storage. Consider Level 2 charger (7.2kW) for overnight charging during super off-peak rates.
Pro Tip: Size your system now to accommodate future EV purchase - it's more cost-effective than upgrading later.
βοΈ Winter Storms & Extended Outages
Challenge: 3-7 days without grid or sun
Recommendation: Size battery for 48+ hours at critical loads. Consider generator backup for multi-day outages. Prioritize loads: refrigerator, heat, internet, medical devices.
Pro Tip: Guardian Tower systems can scale to 98 kWh for extended autonomy.
π Adding a Pool or Hot Tub
Impact: Pool pump: +10-15 kWh/day
Recommendation: Add 3-4 kW solar capacity. Use variable speed pumps and run during peak solar production hours. Pool heating can add significant load - consider solar thermal for pool heating instead of electric.
ποΈ Home Addition or Expansion
Future-Proofing: Plan for growth
Recommendation: Add 20-30% overhead to your current needs. Modular systems like Guardian Tower allow easy expansion. Consider electrical panel capacity - you may need an upgrade to 200A or 400A service.
π‘οΈ Extreme Heat or Cold Events
Peak Demand: AC/Heat surge loads
Recommendation: Sol-Ark 18K handles high surge loads better. Ensure battery has enough capacity for overnight AC operation. Consider mini-split heat pumps (more efficient than central AC).
Note: A/C can use 3-5 kW continuously during extreme heat.
πΌ Working From Home Full-Time
Impact: +15-25% daily usage
Consideration: More daytime usage = better solar utilization. Less battery needed since you're home during solar production. Reliable internet/power becomes mission-critical.
π‘ Aging in Place / Medical Equipment
Priority: Absolute reliability needed
Recommendation: Oversize battery by 50-100%. Add generator backup. Consider redundant battery modules. Guardian Shell's fire protection is critical for safety.
Critical: UPS-grade transfer time (Sol-Ark's 5ms is medical-grade).
π Rising Electricity Rates
Protection: Lock in energy costs
Value: With 5-7% annual rate increases, a system that breaks even in 7 years at today's rates may break even in 5 years with rising rates. Solar + storage acts as "energy insurance" against rate increases.
π Time-of-Use (TOU) Rates
Arbitrage Opportunity: Buy low, use high
Strategy: Charge batteries during super off-peak (11PM-6AM at $0.15/kWh), discharge during peak hours (4-9PM at $0.73/kWh). Can save $0.58/kWh difference Γ daily cycles.
ROI Boost: With peak rates at $0.73/kWh, TOU arbitrage can reduce payback period by 3-4 years. A 50 kWh battery cycling daily saves $2,100+/year on arbitrage alone.
π₯ Wildfire Risk / PSPS Events
Challenge: Planned multi-day shutoffs
Recommendation: Larger battery capacity (65-98 kWh) for 3-5 day autonomy. Generator backup essential. Guardian Shell's fire safety rating provides extra protection during high fire danger.
π Net Metering Changes
Policy Risk: NEM 3.0 reduces export value
Strategy: Larger battery storage becomes more valuable when export rates drop. Self-consumption > grid export. Size battery to store excess solar for evening use rather than exporting to grid.
β‘ Going Completely Off-Grid
Requirements: 100% self-sufficiency
Sizing: 2-3x normal solar capacity + 3-7 days battery storage + backup generator. Plan for worst-case winter conditions (fewer sun hours). Expect 50-100% higher system costs than grid-tied.
Reality Check: Off-grid is lifestyle change - load management becomes critical.
π‘ Custom Scenario Analysis
Have a unique situation not covered here? Our energy consultants can run custom load analysis and modeling for your specific needs. We consider factors like shading analysis, roof orientation, local incentives, utility rate structures, and future expansion plans to design your optimal system.
Frequently Asked Questions & Common Concerns
Short answer: Yes, when designed properly.
Our ECHO battery modules use LiFePO4 (Lithium Iron Phosphate) chemistry, which is fundamentally different from the lithium-ion batteries in phones/laptops that make headlines. Key safety features:
- LiFePO4 Chemistry: Most stable lithium chemistry. No thermal runaway below 518Β°F (270Β°C) - standard lithium-ion starts at 302Β°F (150Β°C)
- Guardian Shell Housing: 1125Β° fire-rated enclosure provides multiple hours of protection
- Multi-Level BMS: Battery Management System monitors every cell, preventing overcharge, over-discharge, and temperature excursions
- UL Certifications: UL9540, UL9540A (fire propagation testing), and UL1973 certifications
- Thermal Management: Active cooling and heating maintains optimal operating temperature
Real-world context: Utility-scale LiFePO4 systems have operated for 10+ years with excellent safety records. Your system is safer than the gas tank in your car or the natural gas line to your home.
ECHO 3.0: 16,000+ cycles at 98% DOD = 25+ year calendar life
Battery lifespan depends on chemistry, depth of discharge, temperature, and cycle count:
- Cycle Life: 16,000+ full cycles (0-98% depth of discharge). At 1 cycle per day, that's 43+ years of cycles available
- Calendar Life: 25+ years before capacity drops below 80% (warranty threshold)
- Real Usage: Most homes partial-cycle daily (20-60% DOD), extending cycle life significantly
- Degradation Curve: ~2% capacity loss in first year, then ~0.5% annually. At year 20, expect 88-90% of original capacity
Warranty: 20-year warranty with guaranteed minimum capacity retention. If battery falls below warranty threshold, modules are replaced.
What affects lifespan?
- β Kept at 50-80% charge = longer life
- β Moderate temperature (15-25Β°C) = longer life
- β Partial cycles instead of full cycles = longer life
- β Constant 100% charge or 0% discharge = shorter life
- β Extreme temperatures = shorter life
Typical payback: 7-10 years with 30% federal tax credit
Economics depend on your location, utility rates, and system size:
Example: Typical Home with TOU Rates
- System Cost: $45,000 (10kW solar + 49kWh battery)
- After 30% Tax Credit: $31,500 (must claim by end of 2025)
- Annual Savings: $6,800 (blended rate: $0.43/kWh avg, $0.73/kWh peak)
- Simple Payback: 4.6 years
- 25-Year Net Savings: $142,000+ (assuming 5% annual rate increases)
Value beyond dollars:
- π‘οΈ Energy security during outages (priceless for medical needs)
- π Increased home value (~4% on average)
- π Carbon footprint reduction (avg 4 tons COβ/year)
- π Protection against 5-7% annual rate increases
- β‘ Energy independence and control
Time-of-Use arbitrage can add $1,500-2,500/year in savings by charging batteries during super off-peak hours (~$0.15/kWh) and discharging during peak rates ($0.73/kWh) from 4-9 PM. With peak rates at $0.73/kWh, battery storage becomes highly profitable.
β οΈ URGENT: 30% Investment Tax Credit (ITC) scheduled to END December 31, 2025
The Trump administration has announced the federal solar tax credit will expire at the end of 2025. This is a limited-time opportunity.
The federal solar tax credit (ITC) currently allows you to deduct 30% of your solar system cost from your federal taxes:
- Through 2025: 30% credit available
- 2026 and beyond: Credit expected to expire completely for residential systems
- Timeline is critical: System must be installed and operational by December 31, 2025 to qualify
Important details:
- β This is a TAX CREDIT, not a deduction (dollar-for-dollar reduction in taxes owed)
- β Battery storage qualifies if charged by solar at least 75% of the time
- β Installation costs included
- β Can carry forward unused credit to future years
- β οΈ Must have enough tax liability to claim (consult tax professional)
- β οΈ System must be operational (PTO granted) by 12/31/2025 to qualify
Example: $45,000 system = $13,500 tax credit. If you owe $10,000 in federal taxes, you pay $0 and carry forward $3,500 credit to next year.
β οΈ STATE INCENTIVES WARNING
State and local incentives (such as California's SGIP, state tax credits, or utility rebates) are subject to change, funding depletion, or cancellation at any time. These incentives should NOT be relied upon when making your purchasing decision. Most state programs have already been depleted or significantly reduced. Always base your ROI calculations on federal incentives and energy savings only.
Battery capacity + load management = days of autonomy
This is the most common concern, especially in areas prone to storms or wildfires:
Realistic Scenario: 3-Day Storm Outage
- Guardian E2.0 (49 kWh usable):
- Day 1: Critical loads only (5 kW avg) = 41 kWh remaining
- Day 2: Partial solar (20% production) + critical loads = 29 kWh remaining
- Day 3: Minimal solar + reduced loads = 12 kWh remaining
- Day 4: Storm clears, solar recharges battery βοΈ
Survival strategies:
- π Load Prioritization: System automatically manages critical vs. non-critical loads
- β‘ Generator Backup: Sol-Ark can auto-start generator when battery reaches 20%
- π Smart Monitoring: Mobile app shows remaining runtime at current usage
- π Load Reduction: Turn off HVAC, pool pumps, non-essentials during extended outages
- βοΈ Partial Solar: Even cloudy days produce 10-30% of rated capacity
Pro tip: Guardian Tower with 65-98 kWh provides 4-7 days of autonomy even with zero solar production.
Yes, but with smart load management
Sol-Ark inverters provide impressive surge capacity:
- Sol-Ark 15K: 15kW continuous, 24kW peak surge (10 seconds)
- Sol-Ark 18K: 18kW continuous, 36kW peak surge (10 seconds)
Common appliance power draws:
- Central AC (3-ton): 3.5-5 kW running, 8-10 kW starting surge
- Electric Dryer: 3-5 kW
- Electric Range: 2-5 kW per burner
- EV Charger (Level 2): 7.2 kW
- Water Heater: 4-5 kW
- Refrigerator: 0.1-0.2 kW running, 0.6-1 kW starting
Smart strategy: Sol-Ark's load management can sequence high-power loads to avoid simultaneous startup. For example, it won't let AC and dryer start at the same time.
Whole-home backup considerations:
- β Sol-Ark 18K handles most whole-home loads
- β Larger battery = run high loads longer
- β οΈ May need to avoid running all high-power items simultaneously
- β οΈ Electric heat + AC + dryer + range simultaneously may exceed inverter capacity
- π‘ Consider heat pump water heater and mini-split heat pumps (more efficient)
Plan for the next 5-10 years, not just today
This is one of the most important sizing decisions. Consider anticipated changes:
- π EVs: Add 7-10 kW solar + 15-20 kWh battery if planning EV purchase in next 5 years
- π Pool/Hot Tub: Add 3-4 kW solar if planned
- ποΈ Home Addition: Add 20-30% capacity overhead
- πΆ Growing Family: Usage typically increases 15-20%
- βοΈ Climate Change: AC usage increasing 3-5% annually in many areas
- π Work From Home: Add 15-25% if transitioning
The modular advantage: Guardian Tower systems can expand from 49 kWh to 98 kWh by adding modules. Start with what you need now, expand when needed.
Cost perspective: Adding 30% extra capacity during initial install costs ~20% more. Adding it later costs 40-50% more (permits, labor, crane, etc.).
Sweet spot: Size for your needs in 3-5 years, not 10 years out. Technology improves, costs decrease, and your needs may change in unexpected ways.
It depends on your goals: offset, backup, or both
Different goals require different solar:battery ratios:
Scenario 1: Maximum Bill Offset (Grid-Tied)
- Goal: Eliminate electric bill
- Solar: 100-120% of annual usage
- Battery: Minimal (or none if net metering available)
- Example: 12 kW solar, no battery = $0 bills with net metering
Scenario 2: Backup Power Focus
- Goal: 24-48 hours backup during outages
- Solar: 50-80% of usage (for daytime loads + battery recharge)
- Battery: 1.5-2 days of critical loads
- Example: 6 kW solar + 49 kWh battery = 36-48 hrs backup
Scenario 3: Maximum Independence (Recommended)
- Goal: Bill elimination + multi-day backup
- Solar: 100-130% of usage
- Battery: 1.5-2 days of typical usage
- Example: 12 kW solar + 49-65 kWh battery = best of both
Rules of thumb:
- Daily usage: 30 kWh β need 8-10 kW solar (for 100% offset)
- Battery: 1.5x daily usage for 24-hour backup
- Battery: 2.5x daily usage for 48-hour backup
- More solar = faster battery recharge during outages
Very little - these are "set and forget" systems
Solar panels:
- β Rain naturally cleans panels in most areas
- β Manual cleaning 1-2x/year if very dusty area (optional)
- β Professional inspection every 5 years (optional)
- β 25-year performance warranty (typically 85% output at year 25)
- β οΈ Avoid high-pressure washing or abrasive cleaning
Battery system:
- β Zero maintenance - solid-state, no moving parts
- β BMS handles cell balancing automatically
- β Firmware updates via WiFi/cellular
- β Remote monitoring alerts to any issues
- β οΈ Keep vents clear if outdoor installation
Inverter:
- β No regular maintenance required
- β Filter cleaning 1x/year (5-minute task)
- β Fan replacement every 10-15 years (~$200)
- β 10-year warranty standard (extendable to 25 years)
Total annual maintenance: ~1 hour of your time, $0 in most years. Compare to your car, HVAC, or water heater!
Replace your roof BEFORE installing solar
This is critical timing advice that can save you thousands:
- β Don't install solar on old roof: Removing and reinstalling solar for roof work costs $5,000-8,000
- β Do replace roof first: Fresh roof + solar = no worries for 25+ years
- β οΈ Roof age guidelines:
- Asphalt shingles: Don't install solar if >15 years old
- Tile/metal: Can install solar even on older roofs (50+ year life)
- Flat/TPO: Replace membrane before solar
Inspection timing: Get professional roof inspection during solar quote. Any roofer can assess remaining life.
Bundle opportunity: Some solar installers partner with roofers for combined quotes. You can finance both roof + solar together.
Warranty note: New roof with solar installation doesn't void roof warranty. Racking systems are designed to integrate with all roof types.
It varies by utility - from excellent to terrible
Net Energy Metering (NEM) basics:
- When you produce more than you use, excess goes to grid
- Your meter runs backward (or credits accumulate)
- At night, you draw from grid and credits offset the cost
- Monthly "true-up" calculates net energy imported vs. exported
NEM Versions (California Example):
- NEM 1.0 (Grandfathered): 1:1 credit - export at retail rate (~$0.30/kWh) β
- NEM 2.0 (Locked as of 2023): 1:1 minus fees (~$0.25/kWh) β
- NEM 3.0 (Current): Export at ~$0.08/kWh wholesale rate β
What this means for you:
- NEM 1.0/2.0: Smaller battery needed (grid acts as "virtual battery")
- NEM 3.0: MUCH larger battery needed to avoid exporting to grid
- No NEM areas: System must be sized to avoid all export (or waste production)
Bottom line: With NEM 3.0 or no net metering, battery storage becomes ESSENTIAL for ROI. Size battery to store all excess daytime solar for evening use rather than exporting at low rates.
Typical timeline: 2-4 months from contract to power-on
Phase-by-phase breakdown:
Week 1-2: Design & Permitting
- Site survey and engineering design
- HOA approval (if required)
- Submit permit applications to city/county
- Utility interconnection application
Week 3-8: Permit Review (bottleneck)
- Building department review (2-6 weeks typical)
- Fire department approval
- Utility engineering review
- This varies WILDLY by jurisdiction (some cities take 12+ weeks)
Week 9-10: Installation (fast!)
- Day 1-2: Solar panel installation
- Day 3: Inverter & battery installation
- Day 4: Electrical connections & commissioning
- Day 5: City inspection & approval
Week 11-12: Permission to Operate (PTO)
- Utility installs net meter
- Final utility inspection
- PTO granted - system goes live! β‘
Reality check: Permitting is the slowest part. Actual installation is only 3-5 days. Choose installers with local permit expertise - they know how to expedite the process.
No. Buy when you need it, not when it's "perfect"
This is the technology buyer's eternal dilemma:
- β³ Waiting game: Battery costs have dropped 85% since 2010. Further drops will be incremental (2-5%/year), not revolutionary
- π Tax credit timing: 30% federal credit steps down in 2033, may expire in 2035
- β‘ Rising utility rates: While you wait, you're paying 5-7% more each year
- π Current tech is mature: LiFePO4 batteries are proven, safe, long-lasting
What about "next-gen" batteries?
- Solid-state: 5-10 years from affordable residential deployment
- Flow batteries: Better for utility-scale, not residential
- Sodium-ion: Cheaper but lower energy density (bigger/heavier)
- Graphene: Lab tech, decades from commercial viability
Math check: System saving you $4,000/year. Wait 2 years for 10% price drop ($4,500 savings), but lose $8,000 in utility bills. Net loss: $3,500.
Bottom line: If you need backup power, want to reduce bills, or care about energy independence, buy now. The technology is mature and the economics work.
Replace individual modules, not entire system
The modular design provides future-proofing:
- π Modular replacement: Replace one ECHO module at a time, not entire battery system
- π BMS monitoring: System identifies underperforming modules before failure
- π§ Hot-swappable: Replace module without powering down system (for Tower configuration)
- π° Future cost: Battery module costs will be 30-50% lower in 20 years
- β‘ Capacity upgrades: May replace 16 kWh module with 25+ kWh future module in same space
Warranty coverage:
- Year 1-20: Covered under warranty (80% capacity retention guaranteed)
- Year 20-25: Post-warranty operation (70-75% capacity expected)
- Year 25+: Module replacement at ~$5,000-7,000 per 16 kWh module (today's prices)
The kicker: At year 20, your "worn out" 80% battery still provides 39 kWh of usable capacity (Guardian E2.0). Still better than most new systems sold 10 years ago!
Recycling: LiFePO4 batteries are 100% recyclable. Valuable materials (lithium, iron, phosphate) recovered and reused. Responsible end-of-life disposal is part of warranty terms.
π¬ Still Have Questions?
Every home and situation is unique. Our energy consultants provide free, no-obligation consultations to answer your specific questions and design a custom system for your needs.
We'll review your actual utility bills, perform shading analysis, discuss your goals, and provide transparent pricing with multiple financing options. No pushy sales tactics - just honest advice from people who live and breathe solar every day.